Riskified (RSKD) Stock: Why The Price Dropped Today

By Amit Chowdhry ● Nov 16, 2021
  • The stock price of Riskified Ltd (NYSE: RSKD) fell by over 20% during intraday trading today. This is why it happened.

The stock price of Riskified Ltd (NYSE: RSKD) – a fraud management platform enabling frictionless eCommerce – fell by over 20% during intraday trading today. Investors are responding negatively to the company announcing the financial results for the 3 and 9 months ended September 30, 2021.

Q3 2021 Business Highlights

— Continued to expand Riskified’s leadership in the luxury fashion industry with the addition of Louis Vuitton, the French fashion house and luxury goods company.

— Implemented Policy Protect product for one of Riskified’s largest merchants for all of their online orders over a multiyear period, a strong validation that Riskified is well-positioned to help drive additional return on investment for its merchants by solving some of their hardest challenges.

— Hosted Riskified’s 2021 Merchant Summit, where dozens of large merchants from fashion, fitness, travel, and other industries networked and learned the latest on fraud techniques and solutions.

Q3 2021 Financial Performance Highlights

— Gross merchandise volume and revenue of $20.9 billion and $52.5 million, respectively, representing year-over-year growth of 28% and 26%, respectively, primarily driven by the expansion of the platform from new and existing merchants and organic growth related to eCommerce growth. This growth reflects anticipated headwinds associated with the implementation of Payment Service Directive Two (PSD2) regulation, along with more muted eCommerce trends and global supply chain issues.

— Gross profit growth from $22.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2020, to $24.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2021, representing year-over-year growth of 10% primarily driven by increases in GMV.

— Net loss increased from a loss of $10.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2020, to a loss of $86.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2021, primarily driven by non-recurring non-cash charges of $64.4 million relating to the remeasurement of convertible preferred share warrants in conjunction with the IPO.

— GAAP net loss per share increased $0.02 from a loss of $0.76 for the three months ended September 30, 2020, to a loss of $0.78 for the three months ended September 30, 2021. Non-GAAP net loss per share(2) increased $0.07 from a loss of $0.01 for the three months ended September 30, 2020, to a loss of $0.08 for the three months ended September 30, 2021.

— Adjusted EBITDA decreased from negative $1.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2020, to negative $13.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2021, due to various growth investments in the business, such as the global hiring initiatives.

— Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short-term deposits of $534.1 million as of September 30, 2021, an increase of $413.4 million from $120.7 million as of December 31, 2020, primarily due to net proceeds of $392.3 million from the IPO, which is net of $26.2 million in underwriting discounts and commissions.

Financial Outlook

For the year ending December 31, 2021, Riskified expects:

— Revenue between $226.2 million and $227.2 million

— Negative Adjusted EBITDA between $24.5 million and $25.5 million

KEY QUOTES:

“The strong year-over-year increase of 28% in gross merchandise volume and 26% growth in revenue we delivered in the third quarter of 2021 underscore that many of the world’s largest online merchants are increasingly recognizing Riskified’s machine learning platform as the trusted solution for fraud management. Considering that the nearly $21 billion we processed in eCommerce GMV this quarter still represents a small sliver relative to the global eCommerce market opportunity over the next few years, we are more energized than ever to support the world’s largest eCommerce companies as they migrate away from legacy systems to our modern scalable platform.”

— Eido Gal, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Riskified

“We are happy with our overall growth momentum year-to-date, and we expect to continue to benefit from strong underlying growth in global eCommerce, fueled by the expansion of omnichannel purchase options and higher eCommerce penetration rates. Riskified applies unique data and machine learning capabilities to a massive and growing market. Our commitment to creating best in class solutions that solve complex problems takes time and resources. As such, we will continue to prioritize investments in the growth of our technology, our products, and our global operations team as we focus on optimally serving our customers over the long-term.”

— Aglika Dotcheva, Chief Financial Officer of Riskified

Disclaimer: This content is intended for informational purposes. Before making any investment, you should do your own analysis.