Ulta Beauty (ULTA) Stock: $506 Price Target From Deutsche Bank

By Amit Chowdhry ● Dec 3, 2021
  • The shares of Ulta Beauty Inc (NASDAQ: ULTA) have received a $506 price target from Deutsche Bank. These are the details.

The shares of Ulta Beauty Inc (NASDAQ: ULTA) have received a $506 price target from Deutsche Bank. And Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai increased the price target from $483 while maintaining a “Buy” rating on the shares. Katai noted that the company had once again delivered very robust results.

These are the highlights from the company’s Q3 2021 results:

— Net sales increased 28.6% to $2.0 billion compared to $1.6 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2020 due to the favorable impact from stronger consumer confidence and fewer COVID-19 restrictions compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2020.

— Comparable sales (sales for stores open at least 14 months, including stores temporarily closed due to COVID-19, and e-commerce sales) increased 25.8% compared to a decrease of 8.9% in the third quarter of fiscal 2020, driven by a 16.8% increase in transactions and a 7.7% increase in average ticket. Compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2019, comparable sales increased 14.3%.

— Gross profit increased to $789.5 million compared to $545.5 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. As a percentage of net sales, gross profit increased to 39.6% compared to 35.1% in the third quarter of fiscal 2020, primarily due to leverage of fixed costs, favorable channel mix shifts, leverage of salon expenses, and improvement in merchandise margins.

— Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased to $503.4 million compared to $416.4 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expenses decreased to 25.2% compared to 26.8% in the third quarter of fiscal 2020, primarily due to leverage of corporate overhead, store expenses, and store payroll and benefits due to higher sales, partially offset by higher marketing expenses.

— There were no impairment, restructuring, and other costs in the third quarter of 2021 compared to $23.6 million in the third quarter of 2020.

— Pre-opening expenses decreased to $1.8 million compared to $4.2 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2020.

— Operating income increased to $284.2 million, or 14.2% of net sales, compared to $101.3 million, or 6.5% of net sales, in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. Adjusted operating income for the third quarter of fiscal 2020 was $124.9 million, or 8.0% of net sales.

— The company’s tax rate decreased to 24.1% compared to 25.1% in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. The lower effective tax rate is primarily due to favorable provision to tax return adjustments, driven by federal employment tax credits, compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2020.

— Net income increased to $215.3 million compared to $74.8 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. Adjusted net income for the third quarter of fiscal 2020 was $92.5 million.

— Diluted earnings per share increased to $3.94 including a $0.01 benefit due to income tax accounting for share-based compensation, compared to $1.32 in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2020 was $1.64.

For the First 9 Months of Fiscal 2021

— Net sales increased 49.3% to $5.9 billion compared to $4.0 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2020, primarily due to the favorable impact from improving consumer confidence, government stimulus payments, and the easing of COVID-19 restrictions, as compared to the first nine months of fiscal 2020.

— Comparable sales increased 47.1% compared to a decrease of 23.8% in the first nine months of fiscal 2020, driven by a 40.7% increase in transactions and a 4.6% increase in average ticket. Compared to the first nine months of fiscal 2019, comparable sales increased 11.5%.

— Gross profit increased to $2.3 billion compared to $1.2 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. As a percentage of net sales, gross profit increased to 39.7% compared to 29.8% in the first nine months of fiscal 2020, primarily due to leverage of fixed costs, improvement in merchandise margins, leverage of salon expenses, and favorable channel mix shifts.

— SG&A expenses increased to $1.4 billion compared to $1.1 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expenses decreased to 23.9% compared to 27.1% in the first nine months of fiscal 2020, due to leverage of corporate overhead and store expenses due to higher sales, partially offset by store payroll and benefits primarily due to less employee retention credits received under the CARES Act, and higher marketing expenses.

— There were no impairment, restructuring, and other costs recognized in the first nine months of fiscal 2021, compared to $83.9 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2020.

— Pre-opening expenses decreased to $7.8 million compared to $12.8 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2020.

— Operating income increased to $921.9 million, or 15.6% of net sales, compared to $12.5 million, or 0.3% of net sales, in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. Adjusted operating income for the first nine months of fiscal 2020 was $97.9 million, or 2.5% of net sales.

— The company’s tax rate decreased to 24.4% compared to 40.3% in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. The lower effective tax rate is primarily due to a benefit from the income tax accounting for share-based compensation and favorable provision to tax return adjustments, driven by federal employment tax credits, compared to fiscal 2020.

— Net income increased to $696.5 million compared to $4.3 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. Adjusted net income for the first nine months of fiscal 2020 was $68.8 million.

— Diluted earnings per share increased to $12.60 including a $0.08 benefit due to income tax accounting for share-based compensation, compared to $0.08 in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for the first nine months of fiscal 2020 was $1.22.

Guidance

The company guided for full-year revenue between $8.5 billion and $8.6 billion, compared with prior guidance of revenue between $8.1 billion and $8.3 billion.

Share Repurchases

During the third quarter of fiscal 2021, the company had repurchased 340,668 shares of its common stock for $126.4 million. And during the first 9 months of fiscal 2021, the company repurchased 2,330,244 shares of its common stock for $762.2 million. As of October 30, 2021, $759.8 million remained available under the $1.6 billion share repurchase program announced in March 2020.

Disclaimer: This content is intended for informational purposes. Before making any investment, you should do your own analysis.